News roundup, 29 Nov 2024

- Vladimir Putin is threatening to use Russia's new hypersonic Oreshnik missiles, recently demonstrated in a strike on Dnipro, to strike targets in Kyiv, potentially including political targets as well as military ones. Due to the high speed (around Mach 10 according to some reports) an explosive warhead is not even needed if the targeting is effective. A spokesperson for Volodymyr Zelenskyy is downplaying the possibilities for these weapons; I don't know if he's actually right about this or just trying to put on a brave face, though.

- Australia's parliament has now passed landmark legislation that bans those under the age of 16 from most social media. The bill was passed with the support of most of the main opposition parties, but was opposed by most of the independents and smaller parties in the Senate. Exemptions are made for apps that are primarily for messaging (such as WhatsApp), online gaming services, and educational services, and services such as YouTube that do not require a login. Awkwardly, one of the authors of the study cited as a reason for the ban is now saying that the study's findings do not justify it - but the author in question is British, and for all we know he might be trying to cover his butt in case some social media company decides to exploit the UK's libel laws (which are notorious for favouring the plaintiff) to claim damages for lost profits arising from the use of his research. As well, Elon Musk is opposed, so I'd be inclined to support the legislation based on that - except that Debra Soh is in favour, so maybe not.

- France's government is requiring all outdoor parking spaces larger than 1,500 m² to have canopies of solar panels built over them. Not only will this generate a lot of electricity, it will make it a lot less uncomfortable to get into your car after leaving it parked on a hot day (and maybe mean a few fewer infants and pets getting cooked).

- There are fears that Donald Trump's proposed new tariffs may provoke China into what some call "supply chain warfare" - cutting American companies off from needed materials and components. It's tricky, though, because China also depends on things like microchips that are sold by American companies.

- A news station in Washington, DC ran several stories about a report on the impact of gas stoves on indoor air quality - only to then scrub them from their website apparently to avoid offending their sponsor, which happened to be the local natural gas utility.

- There have been some abrupt changes in X (the former Twitter) recently, including the ability to turn off engagement numbers, leading some to think that Musk and co. are worried about the recent exodus of users to Bluesky. Interestingly, over at Meta, Mark Zuckerberg seems concerned about the fact that Bluesky is picking up the slack instead of his own company's counterpart, Threads.

- First United American Companies, a limited liability company affiliated with Alex Jones' dietary supplements business, is attempting to block the purchase of Jones' Infowars website by The Onion in favour of their own bid. Elon Musk is also trying to interfere, saying that Infowars' X accounts cannot be transferred according to X's terms of service.

- A former employee of Boston College is trying to sue the institution for religious discrimination after he was fired for refusing to be vaccinated against COVID-19. The employee, a landscaper, is a member of a fringe religious sect derived from Bogomilism, a neo-Gnostic sect that had its heyday in 10th century Bulgaria. The college is using an interesting defense - as a Catholic institution, they say that they are bound by their own religious duty following Pope Francis' 2020 decree that Catholics are obligated to protect their own and others' health.

News roundup, 28 Nov 2024

- The Canadian dollar has dropped to its lowest level in four years following Donald Trump's threats to impose massive tariffs. Meanwhile, many are pointing out that if these tariffs are imposed, the damage will not be limited to Canada and Mexico; the American auto industry is highly integrated with that of its NAFTA partners.

- The Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1505, which represents Winnipeg Transit drivers, is calling for an expansion of the community safety team, as well as improvements for the shields that protect drivers from attacks. However, there are concerns about whether there's enough money in the budget for this. On a related note, the city is testing shatterproof glass in bus shelters to limit vandalism, something that's long overdue.

- Labour negotiations at Canada Post are not going well; the federally appointed mediator is backing away until the two sides can come up with positions that can be worked with.

- The German government is probably hoping that Benjamin Netanyahu doesn't set foot in their country, as they seem to be tying themselves in knots trying to reconcile their support for the International Criminal Court with their efforts to atone for the Holocaust by their unconditional support of Israel.

- Calin Georgescu, a far-right candidate who is running as an independent, has come out on top in the first round of presidential elections. The second round will be held on 8 December.

- Nova Scotia's Conservatives won their second successive majority government on Tuesday. The opposition Liberals suffered severe losses and have fallen into third place behind the NDP; their leader lost his own seat.

- The Winnipeg couple charged with killing and torturing animals and selling footage on the "dark web" now face additional charges; these include bestiality and accessing child pornography. In addition, there is evidence that they planned to torture a child. I daresay this lends support to my initial suspicion that they are not good people.

- Oddly enough, Winnipeg is the only municipality in Manitoba that is authorized to use photo radar enforcement. The mayor of Brandon would like that to change.

- A city councillor in Sarnia, Ontario has been expelled from a council meeting following an unhinged, profanity-laden rant in which he insulted most of his colleagues. He will not be allowed back until he apologizes, something he has so far refused to do. He apparently intends to run for mayor in the next municipal election; some folks on Reddit fear that his behaviour will help his cause more than it hurts him. Sadly, they may be right; Sarnia is not a big city and its economy is dependent on very dirty industries, both of which make for a lot of the kind of people who see this kind of rude and childish behaviour as a sign of authenticity.

News roundup, 27 Nov 2024

- Justin Trudeau has agreed to an urgent meeting with provincial and territorial leaders to discuss the looming tariffs that Donald Trump has vowed to impose on Canada, though it's not clear what they're going to be able to do about the situation. Doug Ford is particularly worried, given Ontario's dependence on the American export market. Ford described the proposed tariffs as "like a family member stabbing you right in the heart"; it's kind of telling that Ford thinks of Trump as being like a family member.

- The Ford government has passed Bill 212, the legislation best known for limiting the ability of cities to build bike lanes. Other provisions in the bill have not received as much scrutiny - notably the fact that it removes environmental and other safeguards that might stand in the way of building a new freeway the government is planning.

- The Manitoba Nurses Union is hoping for a return of the weapon detection system that was tested in the emergency room at Health Sciences Centre this past summer, and is calling for it to be used at all entrances to all hospitals. The union's president, Darlene Jackson, says that nurses are reporting "escalating violence" in ERs around the city, and that this is driving people out of the profession.

- Brazil's former rightwing populist president Jair Bolsonaro has been charged with plotting a coup d’état following his electoral defeat in 2022. We'll have to see if the Brazilians do a better job of dealing with this situation than the Americans have.

- Farmers in Arizona are suffering the effects of subsidence as a result of excessive groundwater pumping, but they sure as heck aren't going to accept any kind of rules to manage the problem. Because rules are for dem big city libtard ay-leets, I guess.

- Anger over Jeff Bezos' interference in the editorial policy of the Washington Post in order to block the publication of an editorial endorsing Kamala Harris has led some book lovers to seek an alternative to Amazon-owned Goodreads. One beneficiary of this is a site called The StoryGraph.

- With the pending closure of supervised consumption sites in Ontario, someone has gone around putting up these posters that purport to be from the provincial health department, pointing out where the drug consumption will be relocated to by this move.

News roundup, 26 Nov 2024

- Donald Trump says that he will impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods at the first opportunity, unless the flow of drugs and migrants across the borders is controlled. Whether this is his actual intention, or whether it's just a negotiating tactic, remains to be seen.

- South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham is warning US allies that any cooperation with the International Criminal Court on the indictment of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his cronies will lead to sanctions; even more unhinged is the response of Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, who suggested that the US could invade the Netherlands if Netanyahu is brought to The Hague for trial. Of course in order to actually do that the Americans would likely need the cooperation of other NATO allies, which seems unlikely. There are rather a lot of countries that could potentially arrest Netanyahu; we'll have to see if they get the chance (and if they do, whether they cave to American pressure).

- Denver mayor Mike Johnston suggested that his city would not comply if the incoming Trump administration were to attempt a mass deportation, and drew comparisons to Tiananmen Square in terms of the resistance the federal government could expect from such a move. Subsequently, however, he has backed away from this stance; I think we can unfortunately expect a lot of similar reversals in the near future from Democratic politicians who initially make bold statements against Trump but then are cowed into retracting them.

- Elon Musk has admitted that X (the former Twitter) is deprioritizing tweets that contain links, making it harder to effectively share news stories on the platform.

- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has admitted that his organization Children's Health Defense (CHD) helped to promote and fund the film Plandemic, a widely circulated pseudo-documentary that alleged that COVID-19 was engineered by da gummint and dem big city libtard ay-leets in order to... well I'm not sure what exactly, because I can't be bothered to watch such a piece of garbage. Oh, and he's really big on raw milk too... just as we're finding out that avian influenza (H5N1) can turn up in raw milk. Now I'm not saying he's trying to engineer a new pandemic (I don't think he is) but he could very well end up being partly to blame for one.

- A man was shot to death by Winnipeg police outside Unicity Shopping Centre, apparently after stabbing an officer in the throat.

- A couple in Massachusetts tried to sue the local school district after their son was penalized for the use of AI to do an assignment. The generated text apparently cited non-existent sources. Fortunately, reason and good sense seems to be prevailing.

- A church in Lucerne, Switzerland has placed an AI chatbot in a confessional booth to stand in for Jesus pending his return. They call it an "experimental art installation" and say that it "shouldn’t be considered the Sacrament of Confession", however.

News roundup, 25 Nov 2024

- The Ontario government has added a provision to their anti-bike lane legislation that would grant the province and municipalities immunity from any civil lawsuits if deaths or injuries result from the legislation. The fact that they're taking the time and effort to do this strongly suggests that they expect that harm will occur from the policy.

- The guy who pulled a U-turn in front of an LRT train in Kitchener has been charged with careless driving, making an unsafe turn, and driving while using a hand-held communication device. This last charge, if nothing else, makes his actions a bit more explicable. He'd better hope he has enough liability insurance to cover the damage to the train; I could see that being fairly expensive.

- A jury in Fergus Falls, Minnesota has found two men guilty of human smuggling charges arising from the deaths of a family who attempted to cross the border from Manitoba in early 2022.

- Philippines vice-president Sara Duterte stated publicly that she has contracted an assassin to kill President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the event that she herself is killed. I daresay that this sort of thing is not a sign of a healthy political culture.

- A Winnipeg Transit supervisor called to eject a man from a city bus was attacked with an improvised flamethrower (a lighter and a can of hairspray). The supervisor escaped injury and the attacker was arrested.

- A semi truck fell off an overpass onto a train on the tracks below, derailing the train and injuring the truck driver.

- A woman in Blandford, Nova Scotia was shocked to find that the dogsitter she'd hired to take care of her pets used her home to make dirty videos for the OnlyFans website.

News roundup, 22 Nov 2024

- While it's too late to do anything about it now, it's an interesting academic exercise to consider whether US Attorney General Merrick Garland could have prevented the reelection of Donald Trump. Dean Obeidallah argues that Garland has utterly failed his country by failing to push aggressively enough in prosecuting Trump after the Jan 6 putsch. Many in this Reddit thread agree with Obeidallah; others think that Garland had no choice but to do his utmost to build an airtight case against the former President, due to the inevitable perception among half the country that this was a partisan hit job against their hero. But I can't help but think that maybe he should have just recognized that this would happen no matter how airtight the case and pushed ahead aggressively; on the other hand, if he did that and it ended in an acquittal, that could have won a lot of support for Trump.

- If RFK Jr. is appointed health secretary as everyone expects, we'd better hope that we don't get another pandemic during the coming years - like, say, a mutant version of H5N1 (avian influenza) that can easily spread human to human like many other flu strains. Some fear that the recent case in BC could be a sign that this is happening; on the other hand, you'd expect to have heard of more cases by now if that were true.

- Matt Gaetz has abandoned his quest to become the US Attorney General; Trump has selected prosecutor Pam Bondi for the position instead.

- The Trudeau government is suspending the GST on a number of items for a two month period; the list of affected items includes things like children's clothing and diapers but also less essential things like restaurant meals, Christmas trees, and beer. They're also sending out $250 cheques in the spring to anyone who earned less than $150,000 last year. One could be forgiven for being a bit cynical about the government's motives here.

- The truck driver involved in that fatal crash last week near Altona, Manitoba was charged with two counts of dangerous driving causing death and one of obstructing a police officer. He has now disappeared and is the subject of a Canada-wide warrant for his arrest.

- While Waterloo Region's LRT system, the Ion, has been very successful, there is one recurring problem - morons keep trying to pull U-turns in front of the trains. In the most recent case the train was actually derailed, though fortunately nobody was injured, not even the idiot driving the car. You can see video of the accident here.

- There are indications that the highly popular weight-loss drug Ozempic not only helps people to lose weight, it seems to actually change people's tastes towards more healthful foods. The fast food industry is sufficiently worried about this to be intensely studying the incidence of this; it's bad news for them if this is true, albeit good news for everybody else. On the downside, there is some evidence that more food might be wasted by users of Ozempic and similar drugs.

- A bill before Australia's parliament would ban most social media for persons under 16. An exception is made for YouTube due to the large amount of educational and other child-friendly content on the platform; some who called for the legislation approve of enabling youth to watch YouTube, but would prefer to have a limitation on young users' ability to upload material to avoid the potential for exploitation and bullying.

- Six people have died of apparent methanol poisoning after visiting Vang Vieng, Laos, a popular destination for young tourists. This is a shockingly common occurrence in much of the world, including the EU.

News roundup, 21 Nov 2024

- The International Criminal Court has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his former defence minister Yoav Gallant, as well as for Hamas leader Mohammed Diab Ibrahim Al-Masri. Of course it's unlikely that any of them will actually be tried by the ICC unless they take an international flight that unexpectedly has to make a forced landing in a country that recognizes the court.

- Gwynne Dyer thinks that Ukraine might still have a chance even following Donald Trump's victory, suggesting that South Korea has plenty of weapons to spare and might be willing to fill the gap created if Trump, as expected, cuts off the supply. Still seems doubtful, though; even Dyer admits that they would not supply the weapons to Ukraine if they thought it would annoy Trump, nor would other NATO countries be willing to have the weapons transported through their territory (much less supply them on their own) if Trump didn't approve. Combine that with the fact that the Russian campaign has been pretty successful of late, and things aren't looking very promising for Ukraine.

- Some Arab Americans who voted for Donald Trump are experiencing buyer's remorse as they see the kind of people he's preparing to appoint to key positions. One wonders if they actually didn't realize this beforehand, or if they just figured Palestine would be screwed either way (which it would) and just voted for Trump for other reasons (most likely relating to feminism and/or LGBT* issues). Or perhaps they just figured "oh well, our people are going to suffer regardless, so we'd best make sure everyone else suffers too" (a common reason for voting for Trump in general, I think).

- Nisichawayasihk Cree Nation in northern Manitoba has been under a state of emergency for more than a year as the community's leaders grapple with an outbreak of violent crime. The problems have not gone away, though, and the community is now tightening restrictions further. Whether these measures will be effective remains to be seen.

- The Smith government in Alberta has appointed former Prime Minister Stephen Harper as chair of Alberta Investment Management Corp (AIMCo), raising concerns about the corporation's independence (i.e. its willingness to invest in things other than oil).

- Several potato companies, including Canadian based McCain Foods and Cavendish Farms, are being investigated by US authorities for allegedly operating a cartel to inflate the prices of frozen potato goods like fries and hash browns.

- The village of Ollolai in Sardinia is selling houses for as little as a euro each in the hope of reversing its population decline. The village has launched a website aimed at Americans hoping to flee the mess their country has become, however as folks in the associated Reddit thread point out, Italy does not seem like the place to flee to if you want to get away from fascism.

- A priest in New York City has been stripped of his duties after several indiscretions, including permitting the use of his church for the filming of a music video by pop singer Sabrina Carpenter. The video may be seen here.

News roundup, 20 Nov 2024

- A severe storm, with winds up to 160 km/h hit the coast of BC last night, causing widespread disruption and power outages but no deaths or injuries so far in that province, though south of the border in Seattle a woman died when a tree fell on a homeless encampment.

- The Kinew government has presented their throne speech, outlining their priorities for the new legislative session. These include maintaining the Manitoba Hydro rate freeze, the elimination of restrictive covenants that limit competition for grocery stores, and new measures for healthcare, including over 100 new beds and strategies for cutting ER wait times. The rate freeze has raised some eyebrows due to the financial status of Hydro and the need for the renewal and expansion of electrical infrastructure.

- Josh Guenter, the Tory MLA for Borderlands, seemingly couldn't help himself when the opportunity came to make a dog whistle about the presumed ethnicity of the trucker who killed two people near Altona last week. He has apologized for this, but he has a long history of rightwing populism (e.g. his support for the trucker convoy in 2022, which got him in trouble back then but not enough to keep him out of the good graces of the party leadership for long).

- The Danish government plans to convert 10% of the country's farmland back into forest. They also plan to tax livestock farmers for the emissions from their animals. A good start, but some bigger countries need to start doing this. And there's doubtless going to be a lot of populist pushback.

- The US Department of Justice hopes to do some "trust-busting" before Donald Trump takes power; they plan to ask a judge to order Google to sell off the Chrome web browser and impose restrictions on other aspects of the company's business. Google claims that this will harm consumers (but then of course they would).

- Winnipeg city council is debating a proposal to tinker with zoning and enable some of the parking lots around malls to be converted into housing. It's a step in the right direction, at least.

- The City of Winnipeg may be only four to six years away from having no capacity to further expand sewage treatment, meaning that no new residential or commercial developments could be approved. Construction on a new facility with more biosolids capacity needs to start immediately if this is to be avoided.

- Police were called to the campus of the University of Manitoba after a man was spotted with a knife; police say there is no further threat to the public despite not making any arrests. Some students are alarmed and confused by the lack of clarity about the situation.

- The Slender-billed Curlew, a shorebird that was once fairly widespread in Eurasia, has been declared extinct after all attempts to find one since 1995 failed.

- A Russian ballet star who had criticized Vladimir Putin has died after falling from his fifth floor apartment. It's awfully strange how careless those Putin critics are around windows.

News roundup, 19 Nov 2024

- Donald Trump's list of picks for his cabinet was never going to be something sane and reasonable people would like, but some of his picks have been described by critics as "political performance art", choosing some of the most hardline and extreme people as a way of "owning the libs". Choosing a possible sex offender as Attorney General? A possible Russian asset as head of intelligence? An antivax nutter as Secretary of Health? With most countries, the rest of the world could just ignore them or look on with pity, but when it's the country with the world's reserve currency (not to mention the world's largest military), it's kind of hard to ignore.

- A bill before the US House of Representatives, the so-called "Stop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act", would empower the Secretary of the Treasury to unilaterally declare a nonprofit as a "terrorist supporting organization" and revoke its tax-exempt status. While the majority of Democrats oppose the bill, a significant minority do not; coincidentally a lot of pro-Israel groups are lobbying for its passage, so I think we all know where this is going. The fact that the Secretary of the Treasury is soon going to be an as-yet unnamed Trump appointee in a couple of months does not faze that lot in the slightest.

- Russia continues to make gains in Ukraine, but at a high cost in terms of casualties. They are now cutting back on payments to wounded soldiers. Of course, in all likelyhood all they have to do is hold out until January and Ukraine's weapon supplies will be seriously curtailed, but at least Russia may suffer enough damage to limit their conquests to one country. That's about the best one can hope for, in today's world. Meanwhile the US has authorized the transfer of long-range missiles to Ukraine, and Russia has responded by threatening a nuclear response to any "massive aerial attack". This may be a bluff but Germany doesn't want to take any chances and is unwilling to give Ukraine such weapons.

- The European Union recently brought forward a policy to address deforestation by requiring importers to prove that supply chains for their products do not cause deforestation anywhere in the world. Unfortunately their parliament is delaying the legislation and seems set to weaken it to placate said importers.

- A Southwest Airlines Boeing 737 was hit by gunfire as it prepared to take off from Dallas on a flight to Indianapolis. Nobody was hurt, and the aircraft returned safely to the terminal and was removed from service for repairs.

- A student in Michigan who was asking Gemini, the Google AI chatbot, for homework advice was suddenly hit with an admonition to "Please die". One wonders if the chatbot may have been subject to some sort of priming by the 4chan crowd. I hope that this is the case; alternative explanations are even more worrisome.

News roundup, 18 Nov 2024

- The principal of an Ottawa high school has apologized after a song in Arabic, "Haza Salam", was played at a Remembrance Day ceremony. The song's title translates, roughly, as "This is Peace"; many were outraged, however, and claimed that it was "hurtful to the Jewish community", despite the fact that the song's lyrics apparently make no mention of the Israel-Palestine conflict. Of course Pierre Poilievre has jumped on that bandwagon in a big way. Poilievre is also outraged at the fact that Toronto's ceremony included a land acknowledgement and made mention of the discrimination against the No. 2 Construction Battalion, an all-black regiment, during WW1. He has vowed to dismantle what he calls a "woke" culture and replace it with a "warrior" one, so his response to these matters is not a big surprise.

- The topic of free public transit is a popular one among some urbanist types. Interestingly, though, the experience in many places has not been as favourable as you might expect. According to this DW report, the removal of transit fares in the Estonian capital of Tallinn, while increasing ridership, actually reduced the proportion of commuters who used it, and car use increased by 5%. Apparently free transit tends to replace walking and cycling rather than driving, while making transit more crowded and thus less attractive to commuters. There is also a perception among many that free transit makes transit less safe by attracting the "wrong" type of passengers. Whether that perception is fair is a fair question, but largely irrelevant - unfortunately it's perception, rather than reality, that determines people's decision to use transit. What needs to be done is to increase the frequency and reliability of transit, as well as perceived safety - and to make it more expensive and less convenient to drive. I would suggest additionally that reduced fares could be beneficial for lower income folks while not encouraging people to take the bus frivolously.

- A Trump-appointed judge has struck down a rule imposed by the US Department of Labor that would have increased overtime eligibility for some 4 million American workers (many of whom foolishly just voted to reelect the guy who appointed the judge). I guess they don't mind if Trump hurts them so long as he hurts black people more.

- With the federal Liberal government caving in to populism and capping international student enrollment earlier this fall, post-secondary institutions across the country are concerned about the impact on their revenue stream. The University of Winnipeg has implemented a hiring freeze as a result.

- In response to the Ford government forcing the removal of bike lanes, the City of Toronto plans to erect signs telling commuters to blame Doug Ford for any increase in congestion that results. Council was quite divided on the matter, though, with suburban councillors opposing the move.

News roundup, 15 Nov 2024

- Canada Post has been shut down by a strike as 55,000 CUPW workers walked off the job this morning.

- As expected, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been selected by Donald Trump for the key cabinet position of Secretary of Health and Human Services. Critics are calling Kennedy a "clear and present danger" to public health; I don't disagree, though it's a safe bet that anyone appointed by Trump is a clear and present danger to something important.

- As with several recent elections, polls in the 2024 US election underestimated Donald Trump's support by about 3%. This was the case across all the swing states. One possible explanation, of course, is that the kind of people who vote for Trump are also the kind of people who think pollsters are part of the Deep State or similar nonsense. Based on exit polls, it is also apparent that Trump did especially well among the "late deciders". Exit polling has also revealed that white voters to represent a larger share of the vote than in recent elections. This might mean that Trump was uniquely successful in bringing out low-propensity voters, or else that nonwhite voters are becoming disillusioned and not turning out for the Democrats the way they have in the past.

- The Manitoba government has announced that the crackdown on retail theft will be made permanent by providing funding for 12 new police officers. Probably a necessary move; hopefully other equally necessary but less visible measures to address the underlying social conditions will not be forgotten, though.

- The Alberta government has purged the leadership of the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo). Finance minister Nate Horner attempts to justify this based on efficiency, but this is disputed by others, and the fact that the corporation had been exploring the possibility of creating a fund focused on the transition to a carbon-neutral economy probably had something to do with the matter.

- The RCMP are investigating after hateful letters were sent to staff at an elementary school in Vanderhoof, BC. Authorities are keeping tight-lipped about the content of the letters, but I'd wager that it had something to do with sexual orientation and gender identity (SOGI) lessons in classes.

News roundup, 14 Nov 2024

- Tom Homan, selected by Donald Trump to be his "border czar", has cited the Canadian border as an "extreme national security vulnerability" and says that there will be "tough conversations" with Ottawa about security. Andrew Coyne, in yet another grim prognostication, predicts that Trump's plans for mass deportations may lead to numerous undocumented residents in the US trying to flee to Canada - and as Coyne points out, "whatever our leaders may say, we have neither the capacity to accommodate them all nor to refuse them – not with a nearly 9,000-kilometre border we have never had to defend until now."

- A strange fact - a significant number of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's constituents voted for her, but voted for Trump for president. To her credit, AOC did not sweep this fact under the rug, but instead went to her Instagram page to ask what they had to say. Their answers may hold a fair bit of significance for the Democratic Party, assuming that they have another chance in 2028. On the subject of counterintuitive voting decisions, it's worth noting that despite often using highly racist rhetoric, Trump actually won 46% of the Latino vote, and 55% of the Latino male vote. Juan Williams thinks that the reason is painfully simple - a lot of Latino men did not want a woman as president and were willing to overlook Trump's racism for that reason. Plenty of discussion in this Reddit thread.

- A Dutch appeals court has struck down a 2021 order from a lower court that would have forced Shell to cut emissions by 45% over 2019 levels by 2030. The court ruled, essentially, that while Shell does have a responsibility to cut emissions, and that developing new oil and gas fields are at odds with this, courts are not empowered to make any specific order (such as an end to new exploration).

- A Tory candidate in Nova Scotia's provincial election, which is being held later this month, is being accused by the Liberals of illegally bribing voters after her campaign handed out Tim Hortons gift cards to citizens.

- The controversy over math requirements for education students in Manitoba is being debated in the pages of the Winnipeg Free Press, with mathematician Anna Stokke facing off against education professor Martha Koch. Koch argues that such decisions should be based on research, which she says supports the changes being brought in by the government. That is all very well except that what we're talking about here is social science research, which is usually a lot less rigourous than the term "research" would suggest to the layperson. That said, keeping the requirements more stringent could have the disadvantage of reducing the number of people going into teaching; maybe we're stuck with a tradeoff between quantity and quality of teachers here.

- Wab Kinew has conducted a cabinet shuffle, splitting some department responsibilities and adding Nellie Kennedy, Mike Moroz, and Mintu Sandhu to the cabinet. Moroz will head the new Department of Innovation and New Technology. Kennedy is the first Muslim woman to serve in the province's cabinet.

- Delays in Ontario's court system are now so bad that the majority of criminal cases are now ending before trial, in order to comply with the 2016 R v Jordan ruling. This includes not just petty crimes but serious ones like sexual assault. The situation is being attributed to a shortage of judges, prosecutors, and actual courtrooms.

News roundup, 13 Nov 2024

- Donald Trump has selected his cabinet-in-waiting, as well as other key advisors. More alarming, though, is the fact that he appears to have an executive order ready to go that would establish a "warrior board" (appointed by the president of course) with the power to dismiss three- and four-star generals.

- Winnipeg has not had any snow since April and relatively little since January. This is expected to change by the end of the month, however. Meanwhile in Fergus, Ontario they just had a tornado, and the northeastern US is extremely dry - so much so that a small fire (such as seen at homeless encampments) can easily turn into an inferno.

- A teenager in BC is in critical condition in hospital with a suspected case of avian influenza; the source of infection is unknown.

- Former BC premier John Horgan has died at the age of 65, following his third bout with cancer. A detailed account of his life and career may be found here.

-The City of Winnipeg has announced that security guards at the Millennium Library will be paid a living wage, currently $19.21 per hour. An earlier proposal to require a living wage for all city employees and contractors was rejected by council last month, however.

- Winnipeg councillor Sherri Rollins is calling for a 30 km/h speed limit for the section of Wellington Crescent where cyclist Rob Jenner was killed earlier this year. Rollins notes that in addition to the aforementioned fatality, there have been a number of other accidents on that stretch, and says that the fence at St. Mary's Academy has been damaged numerous times over the years by vehicles that left the road.

- Due to an unfortunate bit of confusion, surgeons at Winnipeg's Grace Hospital amputated the wrong leg from a patient. Admittedly there was a good chance that both legs would have had to come off eventually anyhow, but still...

- North Korean soldiers fighting for the Russians in Ukraine have gotten relatively unrestricted internet access for the first time in their lives; predictably some of them have gotten obsessed with porn.

News roundup, 12 Nov 2024

- The FBI is investigating after numerous black Americans report receiving racist text messages in the wake of last week's election, telling them to report to a plantation to pick cotton. Alarmingly, many of the texts addressed the recipients by name.

- The Canadian Union of Postal Workers has given notice that they will be in a legal strike position as of Friday, though they have not formally set a date to actually walk out.

- An addictions treatment centre that had purchased numerous units in a condo complex in Winnipeg's Lindenwoods neighbourhood as transitional housing has received a cease and desist order after the condo association took them to court. The complex had a policy against using units for "business purposes", and while acting as a regular landlord was exempt, the court has ruled that this was not and is forcing the centre's clients to leave. Because "property values" or something. Some of the clients had apparently been followed by other residents and had their pictures taken. Well, that's Lindenwoods for you I guess...

- A poll has found that none of the potential candidates for the leadership of the federal Liberals is particularly popular with the Canadian public. Mark Carney scored highest, with 18% of those polled approving of him, but "none of the above" was the choice of 26% of respondents.

- Gwynne Dyer attempts to put last week's US election results in perspective, saying for instance that while the plan to push ahead with oil exploration is worrisome, the global demand for oil is declining, which might limit the severity of such moves. On the other hand Dyer thinks it likely that Ukraine will be thrown under the bus and that Gaza is pretty much finished (then again, Gaza's prospects were dim regardless of the outcome of the election).

- Century-old weather records are tumbling; last Thursday it was almost 23°C in Sainte-Clotilde, Quebec. Slightly more promising is the fact that deforestation in the Amazon has dropped by over 30% compared to the previous year. However, reading the fine print it becomes apparent that it's not as good as it sounds; fire damage is classified as "degradation" rather than deforestation, and there have been a lot of fires.

Aftermath of the US election

So it's over. The American people have elected Donald Trump as their next president. The Republicans have also gained control of the Senate; the state of the House of Representatives is yet to be determined but a Republican majority seems extremely likely.

The consequences of this are hard to predict with certainty, but it is not going to be good. The Globe and Mail's Andrew Coyne paints an especially bleak picture - he figures Ukraine is likely finished (notwithstanding Zelensky's desperate attempt to put on a brave face); I think he is likely correct in that assessment. Scarier is the possibility that this will embolden Putin to invade other European countries. Coyne reckons NATO can be considered a non-factor here. He may be right about that; if Putin concurs he may well try to conquer the Baltic states and parts of Poland. Some more alarmist types think he would go beyond that; I have my doubts (Russia would be pretty badly overextended in such a scenario); the most dangerous possible situation, though, is if the alarmists prevail and the nuclear-armed UK and France send troops in and get into direct combat with Russia.

Another specter raised by Coyne is that of China having a go at Taiwan. That seems a lot less likely to me; the US is heavily dependent on microchips from Taiwan and would be much more likely to step in in such a scenario. Presumably China knows that, so they unlikely to take the risk of going up against the US right now (especially a US led by someone as unstable as Trump). This might become a bigger risk in the long term, though; the US has been trying to bring chip manufacture home, and while that has a ways to go China might bank on them throwing Taiwan under the bus a few years down the line.

Assuming (as I still do, for the time being) that nuclear disaster is averted, there is still plenty that can and will go badly. Coyne again sees severe erosion of democracy at home, with little prospect for improvement:

We should not count upon the majority of Americans coming to their senses in any event. They were not able to see Mr. Trump for what he was before: why should that change? Would they not, rather, be further coarsened by the experience of seeing their neighbours dragged off by the police, or the military, further steeled to the necessity of doing "tough things" to "restore order?"

Some won’t, of course. But they will find in time that the democratic levers they might once have pulled to demand change are no longer attached to anything. There are still elections, but the rules have been altered: there are certain obstacles, certain disadvantages if you are not with the party of power. It will seem easier at first to try to change things from within. Then it will be easier not to change things.

While Coyne focuses on only a handful of issues, there are plenty of other reasons to consider this an abject disaster. Abortion access, for starters, may not be secure even in blue states - beyond revoking the FDA's approval of mifepristone, some fear the Trump administration will make use of the archaic Comstock Act, an 1873 law that prohibits the movement by mail of any "article or thing designed, adapted, or intended for producing abortion", which could include not only drugs but the equipment needed for abortions in clinics. While previous court decisions have interpreted this to mean only the mailing of these things for illegal use, the current Supreme Court can't be expected to uphold that precedent. I suppose this might create opportunities for enterprising new med school graduates in this country to set up abortion clinics in places like Emerson, Sarnia, and Windsor...

And speaking of the Supreme Court, it will probably be decades before the rightwing stranglehold on the court is broken. This means that even if non-crazy people are able to win elections at some point in the future, they will be severely constrained on what they can do.

But the worst consequence by far (assuming nuclear war is averted) is that climate change is almost certain to be a lot worse than it would have had Trump not regained power. Trump plans to completely dismantle the measures put in by the Biden administration; including the invaluable (if misnamed) Inflation Reduction Act, which has (had?) the potential to radically transform the power grid in the US by expanding renewable energy, while creating numerous jobs in the process. Some point to the fact that red states have benefited enormously from the jobs already created, which might be a disincentive for Republican representatives in those states to repeal the legislation. Others have their doubts though:

"It’s one thing to say you don’t want these tax credits repealed. That’s a good start," said Adrian Deveny, who helped write the Inflation Reduction Act when she worked for Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.). "It’s another thing to vote no on a [future] tax package put forward by the president."

Trump also vows to slash climate research (and most other scientific research as well); even in his first term some scientists gave up and left the country, and it is likely to be a lot worse the second time around. He further vows to rescind all manner of environmental rules, opening the door for massive fossil fuel drilling.

Regarding who is to blame for this mess, the recriminations will doubtless echo for years. Bernie Sanders has roundly condemned the Democratic leadership for years of neglecting the working class, and he is not wrong about that. More centrist types blame the Harris campaign for failure to communicate properly, for focusing too much on reasons not to vote for Trump and not enough on reasons to vote for Harris. There may be something in that too; although some were claiming record turnout this time around, the evidence suggests otherwise - turnout seems to have been lower than in 2020. That indicates that a lot of people just didn't think there was anyone to vote for.

But having said all that, much of the blame lies squarely on the American people themselves (including but not limited to the aforementioned working class). I know this is considered impolite to say in some circles; a lot of democratic idealist types (be they social democrats, liberals, or moderate conservatives) say things like "the people are always right". While it's forgivable (and gracious) for a losing candidate to say that in a concession speech, there is no way any reasonable person can say that an electorate who selected a man who is a sexual predator, racist, con artist, pathological liar, and likely spiralling into dementia has made a good and wise decision. I'm sorry, America, but you got this one wrong. Very, very wrong, and the whole world now has to figure out how to deal with the consequences.

One final thought - it's easy to imagine a microbiologist with access to CRISPR technology looking at the way things have gone, and the way it looks like they're going, and deciding to come up with a real-life version of the Captain Trips virus from Stephen King's The Stand, so as to give humanity the kind of "Great Reset" that seems so sorely needed. At this point things are so far gone that I'm not sure I'm prepared to even say they'd be wrong to do so.

News roundup, 8 Nov 2024

- Manitoba premier Wab Kinew is trying to be optimistic about the province's prospects for dealing with the incoming Trump administration, including the proposed 10% tariffs that Trump wants to impose on all imports. Disconcertingly, the best thing he could come up with was to point out that we have a lot of minerals critical to the American defense industry. Also disconcertingly, I can't think of anything better to shelter the province's economy. Meanwhile, Quebec premier François Legault is calling on the federal government to "act quickly" to secure Canada's borders, as he expects migrants fearing deportation from the US to attempt to cross the Canadian border in large numbers. And south of the border, California governor Gavin Newsom has convened a special session of the state legislature to call for increased funding for legal defenses against the anticipated actions of the incoming administration.

- Manitoba's legislative session has wrapped up for the year. The government successfully passed several significant pieces of legislation, including landmark changes to labour law (a ban on replacement workers and changes to make it easier to certify a union) as well as rules restricting the sale of machetes. Controversially, the labour provisions were included in the omnibus budget bill, something often done by governments of all stripes but seen by many as a way of avoiding scrutiny.

- One move by the Kinew government has to do with changes to the certification of teachers. Most controversial is the removal of the requirement for education students to have a minimum of six credit hours in mathematics. The Tories are opposed, of course, but more notably, University of Winnipeg mathematics professor Anna Stokke, who was among those who petitioned for the requirement to be introduced in the first place in 2015. University of Manitoba professor Martha Koch disagrees with Stokke, claiming that better math education in teachers sometimes leads to worse outcomes; it's worth noting, though, that Koch is a professor of education, not mathematics; I'm more inclined to believe what Stokke says about the actual level of math knowledge that she sees in her students than whatever pet education theory Koch is drawing on. Having said that, loosening the requirements might be helpful in alleviating the shortage of teachers; nonetheless, even a stopped clock is right twice a day, and this might be one of those occasions where the Tories are right about something.

- The Quebec government is considering legislation to force medical graduates to reimburse the government for the cost of their education unless they practice in the province for a yet-to-be-determined period of time. The government has expressed a willingness to use the notwithstanding clause in order to avoid constitutional challenges; one constitutional lawyer thinks this would not work, though, since mobility rights are guaranteed in a section of the Charter not covered by the clause.

News roundup, 7 Nov 2024

- Toronto's city manager is saying that if the province insists on pushing ahead with the forced removal of bike lanes, it should compensate the city for the cost of the initial investment in the lanes. Meanwhile a study indicates that the lanes are successful in increasing the number of people who ride. At this point my hope is that enough people who have gotten into the habit of riding will continue to do so, but in the traffic lanes instead, slowing down Doug Ford's commute further. I'd like to think there was something better than that to hope for (like a reversal in the policy), but one has to be realistic about what one hopes for.

- The Trudeau government is ordering the closure of TikTok's Canadian offices, citing unspecified national security concerns, but they aren't blocking access, nor stopping the distribution of the app. Given that the company's algorithms themselves are the source of some of the biggest concerns, this seems like the kind of half-hearted decision all too typical of the Liberals.

- Evidently stock traders see opportunities in the massive deregulation of business that is expected from Donald Trump; the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by over 1,500 points following his election victory. Not all stocks benefited equally, though; there was a significant selloff of stock in solar manufacturers. This is largely due to Trump's vow to repeal the Inflation Reduction Act, from which most of those incentives come. Of course this will partly hinge on whether the Republicans regain control of the House of Representatives, which has yet to be determined. Some also hope that the huge benefits that many red states have gotten from the legislation in terms of jobs will keep Trump from killing it entirely, but don't count on it. Overall, this is going to be very damaging to the climate, especially given the expected withdrawal from the Paris agreement, which will incentivize other countries to do the same. And the latest estimates suggest that without considerably more action than we're seeing already, the global average will increase by as much as 3.1°C by the end of the century.

- Although prior to the election the folks in the r/BoomersBeingFools subreddit assumed that baby boomers were Trump's base, the biggest shift away from the Democrats between 2020 and 2024 was among the 18-29 age group. To their credit, some folks in the aforementioned subreddit are recognizing this; some suggest that the likes of Andrew Tate were a big factor in this shift.

- Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky is putting on a brave face and hoping that Trump will continue to help his country fight off their invaders. Of course he has to do that to try to retain the morale of his people, but I doubt he's actually happy with the situation.

News roundup, 6 Nov 2024

- And it's over. Donald Trump has defeated Kamala Harris and will be going back into the White House. I plan to say more about this later. It's worth noting, though, that while several false bomb threats were called into polling stations in swing states, that almost certainly was not the reason. It may not even be possible to blame the electoral college, as unfair as that institution is - as of this post, Trump is leading in the popular vote as well. No, unfortunately much of the blame for this debacle lies squarely on the American people.

- A team of outreach workers and volunteers is conducting a "street census" of homeless people in Winnipeg, while St. Boniface Street Links is trying to finalize a deal with the City of Winnipeg to lease a city-owned building as a service centre for the homeless community. Contrast the situation one province to the east, where as mentioned previously mayors of several cities in Ontario are calling for the provincial government to use the notwithstanding clause to enable them to clear out encampments, much to the chagrin of activists (and indeed anyone capable of recognizing that such measures are not going to cause homeless people to disappear).

- There's been yet another violent carjacking in Winnipeg; this one occurred in Elmwood and the victim was a delivery driver.

- The Regional Municipality of Waterloo is hoping to move ahead with plans for additional bike lanes, even as the provincial government prepares to make it more difficult. Perhaps they hope to get them under the wire before new provincial legislation comes into effect to make it more difficult, and that Doug Ford won't use a special regulation to force their removal simply because he doesn't have to drive down those streets.

- Three people have been charged after violent protests at places of worship in Brampton, Ontario. One happened at a Hindu temple while another was at a Sikh gurdwara. Of course, Pierre Poilievre can't help but say that it's all Trudeau's fault.

News roundup, 5 Nov 2024

- The polls in today's election remain extremely close. The margin of error is big enough that either candidate could win a healthy majority of electoral votes. Notably, Harris needs to win the popular vote by 2.1 points in order to have a realistic chance of actually winning the Electoral College - and she'd need to beat Trump by 4.5 points in order to have a landslide. One of the things to worry about is that if Harris' margin of victory is narrow enough that a single state could make the difference, Trump's pawns in the Supreme Court could decide to award the election to him.

- Besides the Washington Post and the Los Angeles Times, numerous other American newspapers have declared that they will not be endorsing any candidate. More interestingly, there seems to have been a precipitous drop in endorsements since 2016. Admittedly, there were signs of a downward trend before then (and in and of itself it might not even a bad thing), but it's really taken off since Trump first rose to the presidency. Now some of this might come down to newspaper owners preferring to avoid paying taxes, and so papers that might previously have endorsed the Republican candidate might just avoid an endorsement since endorsing Trump looks so darned bad. But it's noteworthy that among papers that have stopped endorsing candidates, a disproportionate number of them were papers based in states that Trump won and which had endorsed Clinton in that election. It sure looks like the papers are downright scared of Trump... or rather of his supporters. Which makes sense given that Trump recently said at a rally that he wouldn't mind if a few journalists got shot...

- Murray Sinclair, groundbreaking judge and senator, has died at the age of 73. A member of Peguis First Nation, he became Manitoba's first indigenous judge (and the second in Canada) in 1988, presiding over the Aboriginal Justice Inquiry in 1988 and later the Truth and Reconciliation commission before being appointed to the Senate in 2016.

- The newly elected BC legislature now faces the task of selecting a speaker. This is a tricky matter, as the speaker does not vote on bills except to break a tie, and they are constrained by convention on how to vote on such matters (essentially, they vote to preserve the status quo, so on first and second readings they vote yes to preserve debate, while on the third reading they vote no unless it is a confidence matter, in which case they vote yes). And if an NDP MLA is chosen as speaker, the NDP will have a minority government in all but name; they'll need the support of the Greens (or the Cons) to pass anything beyond a budget. Meanwhile the Cons are fulminating over an apparent error that resulted in a box containing 861 ballots not being counted on election night. It should be noted that this occurred in the constituency of Prince George-Mackenzie, a riding that the Cons won by over 5,000 votes. A smaller, yet potentially more consequential error occurred in Surrey-Guildford, in which 14 votes were initially overlooked in a constituency that the NDP held by only 27 votes. Of course the Cons will continue to scream malfeasance regardless of what any future inquiries reveal, because that's what they do.

- There's been another violent carjacking in Winnipeg, in which the driver was hit by his own vehicle after being bear-sprayed. The vehicle was later recovered but the suspect remains at large.

- Manitoba's Independent Investigation Unit, which is supposed to investigate potential criminal activity by police officers, has recommended no criminal charges for a Winnipeg cop who failed an alcohol screening after being uncooperative with RCMP officers who pulled him over near Rennie. I guess most of the members of the IIU still have to drive to work and thus are vulnerable to police harassment...

- A man who ran his truck into a march for residential school survivors after making racist threats towards the marchers has avoided jail, instead receiving a 9-month conditional sentence and a 12-month driving prohibition.

- I can't say I've ever seen a Hallmark movie (some of which are made right here in Winnipeg, incidentally). Those whose judgment I trust generally seem to think that they constitute a high crime against the cinematic arts. Others might disagree, but I think even those people could agree that overtly ageist casting policies are worthy of disapproval.

News roundup, 4 Nov 2024

- A new social media trend is calling on people to "cancel" the votes of more rightwing family members by voting for the Democrats. The Harris campaign, and others supporting them such as the Lincoln Project, are getting involved in the trend, with ads like this one that remind women that their husbands will never know who they actually voted for; not surprisingly rightwingers are having a conniption about this representing the "downfall of the American family".

- In response to last year's Supreme Court ruling which says that municipalities can't evict homeless encampments from public land if there's not enough shelter space for the people living there, the mayors of thirteen Ontario municipalities have called on Doug Ford to use the notwithstanding clause to override this decision.

- Even as a bill to limit cities' ability to build bike lanes works its way through the Ontario legislature, the Ford government is not waiting; they're moving forward with a regulation that specifically orders the removal of bike lanes from three major streets in Toronto; these YouTubers suggest that those streets might be the ones used by Doug Ford for his commute to Queen's Park from his home in Etobicoke. It won't actually solve congestion, of course, but at least Ford won't have to watch people on bikes whizz by as he steams in traffic.

- Winnipeg city councillor Vivian Santos, in her role as chair of the community services committee, questioned whether the city can afford the approximately $260,000 a year budgeted for picking up needles and other sharp objects in playgrounds. The fact that this is something they'd consider cutting is a sign of desperation. Talks are on with the province about possibly empowering the city to levy new taxes; certainly something has to be done. The city is studying the impact of some possible new taxes, including on such things as alcohol and online deliveries; curiously there is no mention of an income tax, gas tax, or sales tax among the proposals.

- A welcome sign in the lobby of Montreal's city hall will be removed following criticism of the inclusion of a picture of a woman in a hijab on the sign.

- Someone in Calgary's Bowness neighbourhood thought it would be cool to leave out a bowl of disposable razors for Halloween, with a sign saying that they couldn't afford apples "because of Trudeau".

News roundup, 1 Nov 2024

- There is a long history of the UK Labour Party sending volunteers to Democratic campaigns in the US (as well as the Conservatives and other rightwing parties sending volunteers to Republican campaigns). Now, though, Donald Trump's campaign is calling it "blatant foreign interference" and has filed a complaint with the Federal Election Commission.

- The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR) held its annual meeting in Hobart this week. Unfortunately every substantive proposal put forward, including the extension of existing measures for the conservation of krill, was vetoed by Russia and China.

- Apparently Donald Trump has promised RFK Jr. control of several public health agencies, including the Department of Health and Human Services as well as the Department of Agriculture, if he wins next week. As if there weren't enough other reasons to stop Trump..

- A Republican super-PAC, called Badger Values PAC, is contributing money to Jill Stein's campaign in Wisconsin. Sounds like the Republicans are borrowing a page from Gary Filmon's book.

- A coalition of 17 states, led by Ohio, is challenging California's right to regulate air pollution in the US Supreme Court. Prospects for a reasonable decision are not good. And speaking of the court, they could also be called upon to decide on a disputed presidential election, which is not reassuring. Biden should have enlarged the court while he had the chance.

- A group of American and Italian researchers have discovered a strain of cyanobacteria (often called "blue-green algae") that holds some promise for carbon sequestration. The particular strain, which has been nicknamed "Chonkus", is quite dense, and thus could either sink to the bottom of the ocean, (thus taking a lot of carbon down to a place where it wouldn't be liberated quickly) or be made into pellets that could potentially be used to make useful materials. To be clear, carbon sequestration on its own isn't going to be enough to solve the problem, but it could at least make things less bad than they will otherwise likely be in a few decades.

- Not only do many authoritarian governments have policies that exacerbate rather than mitigate climate change, the disasters resulting from climate change often help authoritarians win power. And the worst part of it is that when things get really bad, tackling the situation sufficiently to keep civilization alive will probably require some policies that we generally associate with authoritarianism.