- Mark Carney will be meeting with Donald Trump today in Washington. He is, quite rightly, trying to keep expectations low. Tony Keller, writing for the Globe and Mail, thinks that in the short run Carney will gain political benefits regardless of how Trump conducts himself, but in the long run things will be more difficult.
- A state of emergency has been declared in several communities in the Interlake region of Manitoba. Houses have been burned in Peguis and Pinaymootang First Nations, and Kinonjeoshtegon First Nation is also facing imminent threats. Further north, in Opaskwayak Cree Nation, the Bracken Dam neighbourhood is under a mandatory evacuation order, and other parts of OCN and the neighbouring town of The Pas are under high alert. And in Winnipeg, a fire ban is in place, prohibiting open fires as well as coal and wood burning barbecues for a two week period beginning yesterday evening.
- The people behind the metre-long ballots that appeared in some ridings in last week's election, including the riding of Carleton where Pierre Poilievre was defeated, wants to make an even bigger splash in the upcoming byelection in Battle River – Crowfoot, where incumbent MP Damien Kurek stepped down to make way for his leader. They hope to get at least 200 people to agree to put their names on the ballot, as a protest against the persistence of first past the post voting.
- Alberta premier Danielle Smith plans to chair a panel on options for the province to "protect" itself from perceived federal incursions, and then give the public a chance to vote on the proposals in a referendum. She is quick to say that there are no plans to put secession on the ballot, unless of course the separatists get enough signatures to compel it go be there. She claims not to be in favour of secession, so it was very sporting of her to remind separatists what they need to do. She also presented the federal government with a list of demands, which appear to involve the repeal of virtually all significant federal environmental legislation as well as hate speech laws, and the right for Alberta to veto any retaliatory export tariffs that might impact its economy in some way.
- Most polls underestimated support for the Australian Labor Party in that country's election last weekend. This is interesting, because the pattern in Canada and the US of late has been to overestimate support for the centre and centre-left, and/or to underestimate support for the right. The idea that people might feel ashamed to admit, even anonymously, that they'd vote for a party which is campaigning on being nasty, is an easy one to grasp; the Brits even have a term for that sort of thing. If anything you'd expect that to be even stronger now; these days conspiracy theories tend to be a lot more concentrated on the right end of the spectrum, so you'd expect those folks to be the ones who'd be afraid to tell a pollster who they'd consider voting for (because pollsters work for the New World Order or something, I'm sure). In the recent Canadian federal election, if you compare the polls used by 338Canada with the actual results,
it's a bit stranger. If you look at the graph of 338's poll aggregates
over time, there seems to have been a last minute surge towards both the Liberals and the Conservatives, a trend which continues on polls since the election. In the case of the Australian election, they're thinking it might be things like the fact that younger people are much less likely to answer the phone to do a poll, but if that is correct it's interesting in itself, because in Canada, the US, and the UK the youngest generations seem to be latching onto hard-right politics at a disturbing rate. Maybe Australia is different?
- Vancouver-Kingsway MP Don Davies has been appointed interim leader of the federal NDP following the resignation of Jagmeet Singh.
- Friedrich Merz, the leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Party, has failed to secure support from a majority of the Bundestag, the lower house of the country's parliament, after 18 MPs from the coalition he had put together voted against making him chancellor. The parliament now has 14 days to either reconsider their decision or select another chancellor.
- A Soviet-era probe, which was intended to land on Venus, didn't make it past Earth orbit due to a technical problem following its launch in 1972. It is expected to reenter the Earth's atmosphere around this weekend, and because it was intended to survive entry into Venus' thick atmosphere, it is likely to hit the ground rather than burning up before impact.
- A woman reported missing in Wisconsin in 1962 at the age of 20 has been found alive and well in a neighbouring state. She had fled a troubled and possibly abusive marriage and evidently wanted nothing to do with her former life.