Tory lead evaporates in Manitoba

The NDP and the PCs are now essentially tied:

The provincewide poll results show the NDP and the PCs remain statistically tied, with the PCs now sitting at 42 per cent (up slightly from 40 per cent in June) while the NDP now have the support of 40 per cent of Manitoba's decided voters (down slightly from 41 per cent in June).

While the PCs are ahead of the NDP for the first time since December 2008, it doesn't mean much because their lead is within the poll's margin of error of +/- 3.1 per cent.

From the Free Press. Interesting that the article says the Tories are ahead "for the first time since December 2008"; it implies that the author doesn't put much stock in Angus Reid's methodology for their online polls. In any case, this is good news for the NDP. Even better news is this:

Nearly one-half of voters in Winnipeg (46 per cent) said they would vote for the NDP while about one-third (35 per cent) would vote for a PC candidate. Only 14 per cent said they would vote for the Liberals while five per cent preferred other parties MacKay said in its polling.

And of course, if you win Winnipeg, you win the province.